August 28th, 2017 - S&P 500 e-Mini - Trading Activity - Today's Real Money Profit $1,151 / Sim Trade Profit $0
Opening Comments @ 02:00
The market opened a bit lower, nothing dramatic, rallied then moved lower and hit our target on the open short position @ 2436.75.
We can return to normal trading with a target of $400 per day for this week.
Our mid term prognosis based on the cycle and inter-market analysis, has not changed.
We still expect the markets to continue lower into October.
The forecast provides general direction, but not magnitude.
However, looking at the market activity we anticipate the correction could come back to the 2360 levels.
Real Money Trading S&P 500 e-Mini
On the open we were holding 6 short positions at an average price of 2438.54.
The market moved lower after the open and took out this position at our target, 2436.75, for a profit of $539.
The modified Flipping technique used on Friday put us in position for this exit.
We can return to normal trading with a target of $400 per day for this week.
No follow through to the Short side.
Flip trade would take more than 5 contracts.
Revert to Plan B.
Flip Trade
1st Trade
1st Trade
1st Trade
1st Trade
No follow through to the Long side, Flip Trade Short
1 Contract to Cover
1st Trade
No follow through to the Long side.
Adjust Target to 2445.00
Rallied into target. We are out, back to normal trading.
1st Trade
1st Trade
1st Trade
No follow through to the Long side, Flip Trade Short
1 Contract to Cover
1st Trade
No follow through to the Long side.
Done for the day with a total profit of $1,151 including the closed out short position carried over from last week and todays trading.
Simulation Trading S&P 500 e-Mini
No simulation trading today.
The Flipping and Recovery Strategy in the Sim account is slightly different than the Real Account.
In the Sim account we will test taking the first signal in each reversal in the direction of our position until we reach a maximum of 10 contracts.
The market opened a bit lower, nothing dramatic, rallied then moved lower and hit our target on the open short position @ 2436.75.
We can return to normal trading with a target of $400 per day for this week.
Our mid term prognosis based on the cycle and inter-market analysis, has not changed.
We still expect the markets to continue lower into October.
The forecast provides general direction, but not magnitude.
However, looking at the market activity we anticipate the correction could come back to the 2360 levels.
Flipping & Recovery Strategy (Modified 21/08/17)
Going back to the Plan B Concept for Flipping failed trades and recovering losses.
The fundamental logic of this strategy is to recover the losses of a previous trade, not making a profit.
The guidelines are as follows:
1. The trigger event is when a trade does not follow through,
2. The trade is flipped in the opposite direction taking the required number of contracts to recover the losses with a one point target,
3. If flipping requires more than 5 contracts ( this happens if the market runs away or if there are consecutive losing trades) we revert to Plan B.
Plan B guidelines:
Hold the position and add contracts strategically as the market moves away from the 1st entry point to maintain a break even that is within a 50% Fibonacci retracement level between to last significant low and high of the current market cycle.
The maximum number of contracts to be added is 5 for a total position of 10 contracts.
Look for W or Support & Resistance trade signals for entry points to add contracts.
Adjust the target as necessary to near the new break even as contracts are added.
Wait for the market to come back and hit the adjusted target.
Trade Signals
Going back to the Plan B Concept for Flipping failed trades and recovering losses.
The fundamental logic of this strategy is to recover the losses of a previous trade, not making a profit.
The guidelines are as follows:
1. The trigger event is when a trade does not follow through,
2. The trade is flipped in the opposite direction taking the required number of contracts to recover the losses with a one point target,
3. If flipping requires more than 5 contracts ( this happens if the market runs away or if there are consecutive losing trades) we revert to Plan B.
Plan B guidelines:
Hold the position and add contracts strategically as the market moves away from the 1st entry point to maintain a break even that is within a 50% Fibonacci retracement level between to last significant low and high of the current market cycle.
The maximum number of contracts to be added is 5 for a total position of 10 contracts.
Look for W or Support & Resistance trade signals for entry points to add contracts.
Adjust the target as necessary to near the new break even as contracts are added.
Wait for the market to come back and hit the adjusted target.
Trade Signals
Signal Type
|
Long Signal Name
|
Long Signal Acronym
|
Short Signal Name
|
Short Signal Acronym
|
Continuation Trades
|
Continuation Trade – Long
|
Cont-L
|
Continuation Trade – Short
|
Cont-S
|
Trend Correction Trades
|
Rally off higher short-term Low – Long
|
HI’r-LO’s
|
Decline off lower short-term High – Short
|
LO’r-HI’s
|
W Trades
|
W Bottom – Long
|
W-BTM
|
W Top – Short
|
W-TOP
|
Support & Resistance
|
1st Up off Support – Long
|
1st UP Off SUP
|
1st Down off Resistance – Short
|
1st DWN off RES
|
1st 2 in a Row Trades
|
1st 2 in a Row Up – Long
|
1st 2 UP
|
1st 2 in a Row Down – Short
|
1st 2 DWN
|
Consolidation Trades
|
Consolidation Break Out – Long
|
Cons-BO
|
Consolidation Break Down – Short
|
Cons-BD
|
Real Money Trading S&P 500 e-Mini
On the open we were holding 6 short positions at an average price of 2438.54.
The market moved lower after the open and took out this position at our target, 2436.75, for a profit of $539.
The modified Flipping technique used on Friday put us in position for this exit.
We can return to normal trading with a target of $400 per day for this week.
Flip Trade - Original Entry @ 21/08/17
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts Cover
|
#Contracts Recovery
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
10:06
| Short | 1st 2 DWN | 1 | 2 | 2421.25 | 2436.75 | -$1550 | -$1550 |
Flip trade would take more than 5 contracts.
Revert to Plan B.
Plan B - Add to Short Position @ 22/08/17
Time
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts Added
|
# Total Contracts
|
Entry Price
|
Average Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
9:11
| 1st 2 DWN | 1 | 3 | 2440.75 | 2427.75 | 2436.75 | $200 | -$1350 |
We were approaching the 50% retracement level for this cycle, so I added one contract.
Adjusted the Target to 2426.25
Plan B - Add to Short Position @ 22/08/17
Adjusted the Target to 2426.25
Plan B - Add to Short Position @ 22/08/17
Time
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts Added
|
# Total Contracts
|
Entry Price
|
Average Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
15:08
| 1st 2 DWN | 1 | 4 | 2450.75 | 2433.5 | 2436.75 | $700 | -$650 |
Plan B - Add to Short Position @ 25/08/17
Time
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts Added
|
# Total Contracts
|
Entry Price
|
Average Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
7:38
| 1st 2 DWN | 1 | 5 | 2446.50 | 2436.10 | 2436.75 | $489 | -$161 |
Plan B - Add to Short Position @ 25/08/17
Time
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts Added
|
# Total Contracts
|
Entry Price
|
Average Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
9:05
| 1st 2 DWN | 1 | 6 | 2450.75 | 2438.54 | 2436.75 | $700 | $539 |
1st Trade
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
2:15
| Short | LO'r-HI's | 1 | 2436.75 | 2441.00 | -$215 | $324 |
No follow through to the Short side, Flip Trade Long
1 Contract to Cover
4 Contracts for Recovery
4 Contracts for Recovery
Flip Trade
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts Cover
|
#Contracts Recovery
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
3:03
| Long | 1st 2 UP | 1 | 4 | 2441.00 | 2442.25 | $240 | $564 |
1st Trade
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
6:22 | Long | Cont-L | 1 | 2443.50 | 2444.50 | $45 | $609 |
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
7:11 | Long | Cont-L | 1 | 2445.75 | 2446.75 | $45 | $654 |
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
7:52 | Long | Cont-L | 1 | 2447.00 | 2448.00 | $45 | $699 |
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
8:18 | Long | Cont-L | 1 | 2448.50 | 2447.25 | -$65 | $634 |
1 Contract to Cover
2 Contracts for Recovery
Flip Trade
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts Cover
|
#Contracts Recovery
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
8:34
| Short | 1st 2 DWN | 1 | 2 | 2447.25 | 2446.25 | $95 | $729 |
1st Trade
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
8:54 | Short | Cont-S | 1 | 2443.25 | 2442.25 | $45 | $774 |
1st Trade
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
9:03
| Short | Cont-S | 1 | 2442.00 | 2444.25 | -$115 | $659 |
No follow through to the Short side, Flip Trade Long
1 Contract to Cover
3 Contracts for Recovery
Flip Trade - First Entry @ 28/08/17
3 Contracts for Recovery
Flip Trade - First Entry @ 28/08/17
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts Cover
|
#Contracts Recovery
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
9:12 | Long | 1st 2 UP | 1 | 3 | 2444.25 | 2445.00 | $97 | $756 |
Flip trade would take more than 5 contracts.
Revert to Plan B.
Plan B - Add to Long Position @ 28/08/17
Time
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts Added
|
# Total Contracts
|
Entry Price
|
Average Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
9:41
| 1st 2 UP | 1 | 4 | 2442.50 | 2443.84 | 2445.00 | $120 | $876 |
Adjust Target to 2445.00
Rallied into target. We are out, back to normal trading.
1st Trade
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
10:18
| Short | 1st 2 DWN | 1 | 2443.75 | 2442.75 | $45 | $921 |
1st Trade
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
10:27
| Short | Cont-S | 1 | 2442.75 | 2441.75 | $45 | $966 |
1st Trade
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
10:36
| Short | Cont-S | 1 | 2441.75 | 2442.50 | -$40 | $926 |
No follow through to the Short side, Flip Trade Long
1 Contract to Cover
1 Contracts for Recovery
1 Contracts for Recovery
Flip Trade
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts Cover
|
#Contracts Recovery
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
10:43
| Long | 1st UP off SUP | 1 | 1 | 2442.50 | 2443.50 | $45 | $971 |
1st Trade
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
10:57
| Long | Cont-L | 1 | 2443.75 | 2438.75 | -$205 | $766 |
1 Contract to Cover
5 Contracts for Recovery
Flip Trade
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts Cover
|
#Contracts Recovery
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
11:24
| Short | 1st 2 DWN | 1 | 5 | 2439.75 | 2438.75 | $225 | $991 |
1st Trade
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
11:44
| Short | LO'r-HI's | 1 | 2438.25 | 2441.50 | -$165 | $826 |
No follow through to the Short side, Flip Trade Long
1 Contract to Cover
4 Contracts for Recovery
Flip Trade - First Entry @ 28/08/17
4 Contracts for Recovery
Flip Trade - First Entry @ 28/08/17
Time
|
Trade Direction
|
Signal Type
|
#Contracts Cover
|
#Contracts Recovery
|
Entry Price
|
Exit Price
|
Trade Profit
|
Day Profit
|
12:58 | Long | HI'r-LO's | 1 | 4 | 2441.50 | 2443.25 | $325 | $1151 |
Flip trade would take more than 5 contracts.
Revert to Plan B.
No further action required. Market rallied into target. We are out.
No further action required. Market rallied into target. We are out.
Done for the day with a total profit of $1,151 including the closed out short position carried over from last week and todays trading.
Simulation Trading S&P 500 e-Mini
No simulation trading today.
The Flipping and Recovery Strategy in the Sim account is slightly different than the Real Account.
In the Sim account we will test taking the first signal in each reversal in the direction of our position until we reach a maximum of 10 contracts.
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